The AI Black-Scholes: Finance-Informed Neural Network
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2412.12213v1
- Date: Sun, 15 Dec 2024 22:40:40 GMT
- Title: The AI Black-Scholes: Finance-Informed Neural Network
- Authors: Amine M. Aboussalah, Xuanze Li, Cheng Chi, Raj Patel,
- Abstract summary: In option pricing, existing models are typically classified into principle-driven methods and data-driven approaches.
In contrast, data-driven models excel in capturing market data trends, but they often lack alignment with core financial principles.
This work proposes a hybrid approach to address these limitations by integrating the strengths of both principled and data-driven methodologies.
- Score: 11.339331636751329
- License:
- Abstract: In the realm of option pricing, existing models are typically classified into principle-driven methods, such as solving partial differential equations (PDEs) that pricing function satisfies, and data-driven approaches, such as machine learning (ML) techniques that parameterize the pricing function directly. While principle-driven models offer a rigorous theoretical framework, they often rely on unrealistic assumptions, such as asset processes adhering to fixed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Moreover, they can become computationally intensive, particularly in high-dimensional settings when analytical solutions are not available and thus numerical solutions are needed. In contrast, data-driven models excel in capturing market data trends, but they often lack alignment with core financial principles, raising concerns about interpretability and predictive accuracy, especially when dealing with limited or biased datasets. This work proposes a hybrid approach to address these limitations by integrating the strengths of both principled and data-driven methodologies. Our framework combines the theoretical rigor and interpretability of PDE-based models with the adaptability of machine learning techniques, yielding a more versatile methodology for pricing a broad spectrum of options. We validate our approach across different volatility modeling approaches-both with constant volatility (Black-Scholes) and stochastic volatility (Heston), demonstrating that our proposed framework, Finance-Informed Neural Network (FINN), not only enhances predictive accuracy but also maintains adherence to core financial principles. FINN presents a promising tool for practitioners, offering robust performance across a variety of market conditions.
Related papers
- On conditional diffusion models for PDE simulations [53.01911265639582]
We study score-based diffusion models for forecasting and assimilation of sparse observations.
We propose an autoregressive sampling approach that significantly improves performance in forecasting.
We also propose a new training strategy for conditional score-based models that achieves stable performance over a range of history lengths.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-21T18:31:04Z) - Latent mixed-effect models for high-dimensional longitudinal data [6.103940626659986]
We propose LMM-VAE, a scalable, interpretable and identifiable model for longitudinal data.
We highlight theoretical connections between it and GP-based techniques, providing a unified framework for this class of methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-17T09:16:38Z) - Boosting Inference Efficiency: Unleashing the Power of Parameter-Shared
Pre-trained Language Models [109.06052781040916]
We introduce a technique to enhance the inference efficiency of parameter-shared language models.
We also propose a simple pre-training technique that leads to fully or partially shared models.
Results demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods on both autoregressive and autoencoding PLMs.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-19T15:13:58Z) - Stochastic Methods for AUC Optimization subject to AUC-based Fairness
Constraints [51.12047280149546]
A direct approach for obtaining a fair predictive model is to train the model through optimizing its prediction performance subject to fairness constraints.
We formulate the training problem of a fairness-aware machine learning model as an AUC optimization problem subject to a class of AUC-based fairness constraints.
We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on real-world data under different fairness metrics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-12-23T22:29:08Z) - Bayesian Bilinear Neural Network for Predicting the Mid-price Dynamics
in Limit-Order Book Markets [84.90242084523565]
Traditional time-series econometric methods often appear incapable of capturing the true complexity of the multi-level interactions driving the price dynamics.
By adopting a state-of-the-art second-order optimization algorithm, we train a Bayesian bilinear neural network with temporal attention.
By addressing the use of predictive distributions to analyze errors and uncertainties associated with the estimated parameters and model forecasts, we thoroughly compare our Bayesian model with traditional ML alternatives.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-03-07T18:59:54Z) - Arbitrage-free neural-SDE market models [6.145654286950278]
We develop a nonparametric model for the European options book respecting underlying financial constraints.
We study the inference problem where a model is learnt from discrete time series data of stock and option prices.
We use neural networks as function approximators for the drift and diffusion of the modelled SDE system.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-05-24T00:53:10Z) - Adaptive learning for financial markets mixing model-based and
model-free RL for volatility targeting [0.0]
Model-Free Reinforcement Learning has achieved meaningful results in stable environments but, to this day, it remains problematic in regime changing environments like financial markets.
We propose to combine the best of the two techniques by selecting various model-based approaches thanks to Model-Free Deep Reinforcement Learning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-04-19T19:20:22Z) - Modeling the Second Player in Distributionally Robust Optimization [90.25995710696425]
We argue for the use of neural generative models to characterize the worst-case distribution.
This approach poses a number of implementation and optimization challenges.
We find that the proposed approach yields models that are more robust than comparable baselines.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-03-18T14:26:26Z) - Robust pricing and hedging via neural SDEs [0.0]
We develop and analyse novel algorithms needed for efficient use of neural SDEs.
We find robust bounds for prices of derivatives and the corresponding hedging strategies while incorporating relevant market data.
Neural SDEs allow consistent calibration under both the risk-neutral and the real-world measures.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-08T14:33:17Z) - Gaussian process imputation of multiple financial series [71.08576457371433]
Multiple time series such as financial indicators, stock prices and exchange rates are strongly coupled due to their dependence on the latent state of the market.
We focus on learning the relationships among financial time series by modelling them through a multi-output Gaussian process.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-02-11T19:18:18Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.