It is all Connected: A New Graph Formulation for Spatio-Temporal
Forecasting
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2303.13177v1
- Date: Thu, 23 Mar 2023 11:16:33 GMT
- Title: It is all Connected: A New Graph Formulation for Spatio-Temporal
Forecasting
- Authors: Lars {\O}degaard Bentsen, Narada Dilp Warakagoda, Roy Stenbro, Paal
Engelstad
- Abstract summary: We propose a framework for learning temporal and spatial dependencies using Graph Neural Network (GNN) networks.
GNNs represent every sample as its own node in a graph, rather than all measurements for a particular location as a single node.
The framework does not require measurements along the temporal dimension, meaning that it also facilitates irregular time series, different frequencies or missing data, without the need for data sampling imputation.
- Score: 1.278093617645299
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal
time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions
about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise
distinct components that learn spatial and temporal dependencies. A common
methodology employs some Graph Neural Network (GNN) to capture relations
between spatial locations, while another network, such as a recurrent neural
network (RNN), learns temporal correlations. By representing every recorded
sample as its own node in a graph, rather than all measurements for a
particular location as a single node, temporal and spatial information is
encoded in a similar manner. In this setting, GNNs can now directly learn both
temporal and spatial dependencies, jointly, while also alleviating the need for
additional temporal networks. Furthermore, the framework does not require
aligned measurements along the temporal dimension, meaning that it also
naturally facilitates irregular time series, different sampling frequencies or
missing data, without the need for data imputation. To evaluate the proposed
methodology, we consider wind speed forecasting as a case study, where our
proposed framework outperformed other spatio-temporal models using GNNs with
either Transformer or LSTM networks as temporal update functions.
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