Post-Abstention: Towards Reliably Re-Attempting the Abstained Instances
in QA
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2305.01812v1
- Date: Tue, 2 May 2023 22:40:41 GMT
- Title: Post-Abstention: Towards Reliably Re-Attempting the Abstained Instances
in QA
- Abstract summary: We present an explorative study on 'Post-Abstention', a task that allows re-attempting the abstained instances with the aim of increasing 'coverage' of the system.
Comprehensive experiments on 11 QA datasets show that these methods lead to considerable risk improvements.
- Score: 24.572043878403353
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Despite remarkable progress made in natural language processing, even the
state-of-the-art models often make incorrect predictions. Such predictions
hamper the reliability of systems and limit their widespread adoption in
real-world applications. 'Selective prediction' partly addresses the above
concern by enabling models to abstain from answering when their predictions are
likely to be incorrect. While selective prediction is advantageous, it leaves
us with a pertinent question 'what to do after abstention'. To this end, we
present an explorative study on 'Post-Abstention', a task that allows
re-attempting the abstained instances with the aim of increasing 'coverage' of
the system without significantly sacrificing its 'accuracy'. We first provide
mathematical formulation of this task and then explore several methods to solve
it. Comprehensive experiments on 11 QA datasets show that these methods lead to
considerable risk improvements -- performance metric of the Post-Abstention
task -- both in the in-domain and the out-of-domain settings. We also conduct a
thorough analysis of these results which further leads to several interesting
findings. Finally, we believe that our work will encourage and facilitate
further research in this important area of addressing the reliability of NLP
systems.
Related papers
- Selective Time Series Forecasting via Metalearning [3.255705667028885]
We propose a selective forecasting framework that addresses the limitation by modeling the empirical percentile of forecasting errors.<n>By decoupling the rejection decision from the forecast itself and grounding it in domain-agnostic features, the framework enables effective abstention transfer across heterogeneous time series.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-06-22T15:02:10Z) - Seeing Farther and Smarter: Value-Guided Multi-Path Reflection for VLM Policy Optimization [41.15414881730464]
Vision-Language Models (VLMs) offer a general perceive-reason-act framework for this goal.<n>Previous approaches rely on inefficient and often inaccurate implicit learning of state-values from noisy foresight predictions.<n>We propose a novel test-time computation framework that decouples state evaluation from action generation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-22T22:53:16Z) - Lost at the Beginning of Reasoning [82.18834329384514]
We show that the first reasoning step exerts a disproportionately large influence on the final prediction.<n>We propose an efficient sampling strategy that leverages a reward model to identify and retain high-quality first reasoning steps.<n>We introduce a new benchmark specifically constructed with deliberately flawed first reasoning steps to systematically evaluate model self-correction capabilities.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-27T09:53:57Z) - How Far Are We from Predicting Missing Modalities with Foundation Models? [31.853781353441242]
Current foundation models often fall short in two critical aspects: (i) fine-grained semantic extraction from the available modalities, and (ii) robust validation of generated modalities.<n>This framework dynamically formulates modality-aware mining strategies based on the input context, facilitating the extraction of richer and more discriminative semantic features.<n> Experimental results show that our method reduces FID for missing image prediction by at least 14% and MER for missing text prediction by at least 10% compared to baselines.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-04T03:22:44Z) - Prediction-Powered E-Values [0.66567375919026]
We apply ideas of prediction-powered inference to e-values.
We show that every inference procedure that can be framed in terms of e-values has a prediction-powered counterpart.
Our approach is modular and easily integrable into existing algorithms.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-02-06T18:36:01Z) - Predictions as Surrogates: Revisiting Surrogate Outcomes in the Age of AI [12.569286058146343]
We establish a formal connection between the decades-old surrogate outcome model in biostatistics and the emerging field of prediction-powered inference (PPI)
We develop recalibrated prediction-powered inference, a more efficient approach to statistical inference than existing PPI proposals.
We demonstrate significant gains in effective sample size over existing PPI proposals via three applications leveraging state-of-the-art machine learning/AI models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-16T18:30:33Z) - Certified Human Trajectory Prediction [66.1736456453465]
We propose a certification approach tailored for trajectory prediction that provides guaranteed robustness.<n>To mitigate the inherent performance drop through certification, we propose a diffusion-based trajectory denoiser and integrate it into our method.<n>We demonstrate the accuracy and robustness of the certified predictors and highlight their advantages over the non-certified ones.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-03-20T17:41:35Z) - Source-Free Unsupervised Domain Adaptation with Hypothesis Consolidation
of Prediction Rationale [53.152460508207184]
Source-Free Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (SFUDA) is a challenging task where a model needs to be adapted to a new domain without access to target domain labels or source domain data.
This paper proposes a novel approach that considers multiple prediction hypotheses for each sample and investigates the rationale behind each hypothesis.
To achieve the optimal performance, we propose a three-step adaptation process: model pre-adaptation, hypothesis consolidation, and semi-supervised learning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-02T05:53:22Z) - Learning-Based Approaches to Predictive Monitoring with Conformal
Statistical Guarantees [2.1684857243537334]
This tutorial focuses on efficient methods to predictive monitoring (PM)
PM is the problem of detecting future violations of a given requirement from the current state of a system.
We present a general and comprehensive framework summarizing our approach to the predictive monitoring of CPSs.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-04T15:16:42Z) - From Prediction to Action: Critical Role of Performance Estimation for
Machine-Learning-Driven Materials Discovery [2.3243389656894595]
We argue that the lack of proper performance estimation methods from pre-computed data collections is a fundamental problem for improving data-driven materials discovery.
We propose a novel such estimator that, in contrast to na"ive reward estimation, successfully predicts Gaussian processes with the "expected improvement" acquisition function.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-27T05:29:43Z) - Performative Time-Series Forecasting [71.18553214204978]
We formalize performative time-series forecasting (PeTS) from a machine-learning perspective.
We propose a novel approach, Feature Performative-Shifting (FPS), which leverages the concept of delayed response to anticipate distribution shifts.
We conduct comprehensive experiments using multiple time-series models on COVID-19 and traffic forecasting tasks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-09T18:34:29Z) - Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting with Uncertainty [51.628234388046195]
We develop an open-source library for human pose forecasting, including multiple models, supporting several datasets.
We devise two types of uncertainty in the problem to increase performance and convey better trust.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-13T17:56:08Z) - ZigZag: Universal Sampling-free Uncertainty Estimation Through Two-Step Inference [54.17205151960878]
We introduce a sampling-free approach that is generic and easy to deploy.
We produce reliable uncertainty estimates on par with state-of-the-art methods at a significantly lower computational cost.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-11-21T13:23:09Z) - What Should I Know? Using Meta-gradient Descent for Predictive Feature
Discovery in a Single Stream of Experience [63.75363908696257]
computational reinforcement learning seeks to construct an agent's perception of the world through predictions of future sensations.
An open challenge in this line of work is determining from the infinitely many predictions that the agent could possibly make which predictions might best support decision-making.
We introduce a meta-gradient descent process by which an agent learns what predictions to make, 2) the estimates for its chosen predictions, and 3) how to use those estimates to generate policies that maximize future reward.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-06-13T21:31:06Z) - Domain-Adjusted Regression or: ERM May Already Learn Features Sufficient
for Out-of-Distribution Generalization [52.7137956951533]
We argue that devising simpler methods for learning predictors on existing features is a promising direction for future research.
We introduce Domain-Adjusted Regression (DARE), a convex objective for learning a linear predictor that is provably robust under a new model of distribution shift.
Under a natural model, we prove that the DARE solution is the minimax-optimal predictor for a constrained set of test distributions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-14T16:42:16Z) - Evaluating Predictive Distributions: Does Bayesian Deep Learning Work? [45.290773422944866]
Posterior predictive distributions quantify uncertainties ignored by point estimates.
This paper introduces textitThe Neural Testbed, which provides tools for the systematic evaluation of agents that generate such predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-10-09T18:54:02Z) - Towards Improving Selective Prediction Ability of NLP Systems [24.774450633678125]
We propose a method that improves probability estimates of models by calibrating them using prediction confidence and difficulty score of instances.
We instantiate our method with Natural Language Inference (NLI) and Duplicate Detection (DD) tasks and evaluate it in both In-Domain (IID) and Out-of-Domain (OOD) settings.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-08-21T08:46:36Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.