CardioCoT: Hierarchical Reasoning for Multimodal Survival Analysis
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2505.19195v1
- Date: Sun, 25 May 2025 15:41:18 GMT
- Title: CardioCoT: Hierarchical Reasoning for Multimodal Survival Analysis
- Authors: Shaohao Rui, Haoyang Su, Jinyi Xiang, Lian-Ming Wu, Xiaosong Wang,
- Abstract summary: We propose CardioCoT, a novel two-stage hierarchical reasoning-enhanced survival analysis framework.<n>In the first stage, we employ an evidence-augmented self-refinement mechanism to guide LLM/VLMs in generating robust hierarchical reasoning trajectories.<n>In the second stage, we integrate the reasoning trajectories with imaging data for risk model training and prediction.
- Score: 2.668073128790639
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Accurate prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events recurrence risk in acute myocardial infarction patients based on postoperative cardiac MRI and associated clinical notes is crucial for precision treatment and personalized intervention. Existing methods primarily focus on risk stratification capability while overlooking the need for intermediate robust reasoning and model interpretability in clinical practice. Moreover, end-to-end risk prediction using LLM/VLM faces significant challenges due to data limitations and modeling complexity. To bridge this gap, we propose CardioCoT, a novel two-stage hierarchical reasoning-enhanced survival analysis framework designed to enhance both model interpretability and predictive performance. In the first stage, we employ an evidence-augmented self-refinement mechanism to guide LLM/VLMs in generating robust hierarchical reasoning trajectories based on associated radiological findings. In the second stage, we integrate the reasoning trajectories with imaging data for risk model training and prediction. CardioCoT demonstrates superior performance in MACE recurrence risk prediction while providing interpretable reasoning processes, offering valuable insights for clinical decision-making.
Related papers
- LLM-Augmented Symptom Analysis for Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction: A Clinical NLP [2.2615384250361004]
This study introduces a novel LLM-augmented clinical NLP pipeline that employs domain-adapted large language models for symptom extraction, contextual reasoning, and correlation from free-text reports.<n> Evaluations on MIMIC-III and CARDIO-NLP datasets demonstrate improved performance in precision, recall, F1-score, and AUROC, with high clinical relevance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-07-15T07:32:16Z) - MOSCARD -- Causal Reasoning and De-confounding for Multimodal Opportunistic Screening of Cardiovascular Adverse Events [3.206697649226124]
Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) remain the leading cause of mortality globally, as reported in the Global Disease Study 2021.<n>Opportunistic screening leverages data collected from routine health check-ups and multimodal data can play a key role to identify at-risk individuals.<n>We propose a novel predictive modeling framework - MOSCARD, multimodal causal reasoning with co-attention to align two distinct modalities and simultaneously mitigate bias and confounders in opportunistic risk estimation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-23T22:28:37Z) - Adaptable Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction from Heterogeneous Data using Large Language Models [70.64969663547703]
AdaCVD is an adaptable CVD risk prediction framework built on large language models extensively fine-tuned on over half a million participants from the UK Biobank.<n>It addresses key clinical challenges across three dimensions: it flexibly incorporates comprehensive yet variable patient information; it seamlessly integrates both structured data and unstructured text; and it rapidly adapts to new patient populations using minimal additional data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-05-30T14:42:02Z) - Prediction of Delirium Risk in Mild Cognitive Impairment Using Time-Series data, Machine Learning and Comorbidity Patterns -- A Retrospective Study [0.0]
Delirium is a clinical concern characterized by high morbidity and mortality rates in patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI)<n>This study investigates the associated risk factors for delirium by analyzing the comorbidity patterns relevant to MCI and developing a longitudinal predictive model.<n>The model demonstrated robust predictive capabilities with an AUROC of 0.93 and an AUPRC of 0.92.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-05-05T01:21:31Z) - Machine Learning Solutions Integrated in an IoT Healthcare Platform for Heart Failure Risk Stratification [3.952604803580729]
The management of chronic Heart Failure (HF) presents significant challenges in modern healthcare.<n>We present a predictive model founded on Machine Learning (ML) techniques to identify patients at HF risk.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-04-07T14:07:05Z) - Deciphering Cardiac Destiny: Unveiling Future Risks Through Cutting-Edge Machine Learning Approaches [0.0]
This project aims to develop and assess predictive models for the timely identification of cardiac arrest incidents.
We employ machine learning algorithms like XGBoost, Gradient Boosting, and Naive Bayes, alongside a deep learning (DL) approach with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs)
Rigorous experimentation and validation revealed the superior performance of the RNN model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-03T19:18:16Z) - Deep State-Space Generative Model For Correlated Time-to-Event Predictions [54.3637600983898]
We propose a deep latent state-space generative model to capture the interactions among different types of correlated clinical events.
Our method also uncovers meaningful insights about the latent correlations among mortality and different types of organ failures.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-28T02:42:36Z) - Interpretable Survival Analysis for Heart Failure Risk Prediction [50.64739292687567]
We propose a novel survival analysis pipeline that is both interpretable and competitive with state-of-the-art survival models.
Our pipeline achieves state-of-the-art performance and provides interesting and novel insights about risk factors for heart failure.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-24T02:56:05Z) - MedDiffusion: Boosting Health Risk Prediction via Diffusion-based Data
Augmentation [58.93221876843639]
This paper introduces a novel, end-to-end diffusion-based risk prediction model, named MedDiffusion.
It enhances risk prediction performance by creating synthetic patient data during training to enlarge sample space.
It discerns hidden relationships between patient visits using a step-wise attention mechanism, enabling the model to automatically retain the most vital information for generating high-quality data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-04T01:36:30Z) - SurvLatent ODE : A Neural ODE based time-to-event model with competing
risks for longitudinal data improves cancer-associated Deep Vein Thrombosis
(DVT) prediction [68.8204255655161]
We propose a generative time-to-event model, SurvLatent ODE, which parameterizes a latent representation under irregularly sampled data.
Our model then utilizes the latent representation to flexibly estimate survival times for multiple competing events without specifying shapes of event-specific hazard function.
SurvLatent ODE outperforms the current clinical standard Khorana Risk scores for stratifying DVT risk groups.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-04-20T17:28:08Z) - Clinical Outcome Prediction from Admission Notes using Self-Supervised
Knowledge Integration [55.88616573143478]
Outcome prediction from clinical text can prevent doctors from overlooking possible risks.
Diagnoses at discharge, procedures performed, in-hospital mortality and length-of-stay prediction are four common outcome prediction targets.
We propose clinical outcome pre-training to integrate knowledge about patient outcomes from multiple public sources.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-08T10:26:44Z) - WRSE -- a non-parametric weighted-resolution ensemble for predicting
individual survival distributions in the ICU [0.251657752676152]
Dynamic assessment of mortality risk in the intensive care unit (ICU) can be used to stratify patients, inform about treatment effectiveness or serve as part of an early-warning system.
We show competitive results with state-of-the-art probabilistic models, while greatly reducing training time by factors of 2-9x.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-11-02T10:13:59Z) - Prediction of the onset of cardiovascular diseases from electronic
health records using multi-task gated recurrent units [51.14334174570822]
We propose a multi-task recurrent neural network with attention mechanism for predicting cardiovascular events from electronic health records.
The proposed approach is compared to a standard clinical risk predictor (QRISK) and machine learning alternatives using 5-year data from a NHS Foundation Trust.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-16T17:43:13Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.